Abstract

Maintenance work order records provide valuable insights into chemical plants and production efficiency. These records are manually created in computerized management systems for routine and emergency maintenance. However, since the records are manually created, recording errors are not uncommon. The resulting datasets are additionally imbalanced, i.e., they have significantly more instances of certain classes than other minority classes. It is very challenging to use such datasets for classification and prediction of future events. In this paper, we propose a modeling framework that uses derivative-free optimization (DFO) to optimize the performance of classification models based on datasets that may be imbalanced. We apply our modeling framework to 15 real-world work order datasets. We also evaluate ten mixed-integer box-bounded DFO solvers for their ability to optimize machine learning models from industrial datasets. Compared to standard solutions, our results show dramatic improvements in the prediction accuracies of the models.

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