Inducing a probability distribution in Stochastic Multicriteria Acceptability Analysis

Abstract

In multiple criteria decision aiding, very often the alternatives are compared by means of a value function compatible with the preferences expressed by the Decision Maker. The problem is that, in general, there is a plurality of compatible value functions, and providing a final recommendation on the problem at hand considering only one of them could be considered arbitrary to some extent. For such a reason, Stochastic Multicriteria Acceptability Analysis gives information in statistical terms by taking into account a sample of models compatible with the provided preferences. These statistics are given assuming the existence of a probability distribution in the space of value functions being defined a priori. In this paper, we propose some methods aiming to build a probability distribution on the space of value functions considering the preference information given by the Decision Maker. To prove the goodness of our proposal we performed an extensive set of simulations. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis on the variables of our procedure has been done.