Indonesian Digital Bank Stock Valuation: Case Study of Bank Jago in 2022

Abstract

In 2019, in the midst of the early stage of the digital banking industry in Indonesia Bank Arto underwent a transition and rebranded as Bank Jago, a digital bank. As a result of Bank Jago’s transition from a traditional commercial bank into a digital bank, the company’s stock reached an all-time high share price of Rp 19,000 per share in January 2022. This was the highest share price the company had ever achieved. The public’s excitement eventually subsided, however, and this resulted in a decline in the price of the company’s shares. The price per share of Bank Jago was recorded at Rp 4,200 in November of 2022, which was 77% lower than the price recorded in the beginning of 2022. This research will analyze the financial performance of Bank Jago through the utilization of financial ratio analysis, and to determine the intrinsic value of Bank Jago through the utilization of absolute valuation using the Dividend Discount Model as well as the competitiveness and environment of the Indonesian digital banking industry using PESTEL and Porter Five Forces. From the Porter Five Forces, Indonesian digital banking industry indicates a high level of competitiveness, whilst the industry itself in Indonesia through the PESTEL analysis indicates that it will continue to grow due to the level of support from the political and government factors. According to the analysis of financial ratios, Bank Jago’s profitability has increased significantly over the past three years, as indicated by the rapid growth rate of the NIM, ROE, and ROA ratios since the time of its transformation. With a ratio of 145.86%, Bank Jago displayed a level of liquidity that was unsatisfactory. According to the projections using Dividend Discount Model, Bank Jago’s intrinsic value is currently undervalued by -23%.