Incremental Prognostic Value of Quantified Vulnerable Plaque by Cardiac Computed Tomography: A Pilot Study.

Abstract

Coronary computed tomography (CT) angiography (CCTA) has the ability to detect, characterize, and quantify atherosclerotic plaques. The aim of our study was to evaluate the prognostic power of CCTA-quantified plaque subtypes. A total of 36 patients with adverse events and 36 Morise score-matched patients who remained event free on follow-up were identified. Using CCTA images, plaque subtype volumes in the major epicardial arteries were analyzed using predetermined attenuation ranges in Hounsfield units (HU): 1 to 30 HU (low attenuating), 31 to 70 HU (intermediate attenuating), 71 to 150 HU (high attenuating), and mean coronary lumen+2 SD to 1000 HU (calcified). Each epicardial artery was divided into proximal, mid, and distal segments, and plaque volumes were normalized for arterial segment length. The baseline characteristics of the 2 cohorts were similar. Low-attenuation and intermediate-attenuation plaque volumes were greater in the proximal segments as well as in the entire length in the adverse event compared with the event-free group. High-attenuation plaque volume was increased only in the proximal segments in the adverse event group. There was no difference in the volume of calcified plaque between the 2 groups. The log rank test using a cutoff of 3.99 mm/mm for combined intermediate and low plaque volume showed more adverse events in patients with a plaque volume of ≥3.99 mm/mm. Adverse events appear to be associated with greater volumes of low-attenuation and intermediate-attenuation plaques that reflect lipid and fibrous atherosclerosis. The difference between the 2 groups is most apparent in the proximal epicardial arteries.