Increasing warm-season precipitation in Asian drylands and response to reducing spring snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau

Abstract

AbstractPrecipitation is crucial for life and the ecological environment in Asian drylands. This study investigated precipitation trends in Asian drylands in previous four decades and simulated its possible linkage with snow cover reduction over the Tibetan Plateau. The results show that precipitation has been increasing and contributing to wetter conditions in Asian drylands. The increasing trends can be attributed to the deepened quasi-stationary wave trough around the Lake Balkhash and the meridional water-vapor flux originated from the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal. The mid-latitude waves and eddy disturbances correspond to the northward upper-level Tibetan Plateau (TP) mode of the South Asian High (TP-SAH) and the Afro-Asia jet with cyclonic rotation. Both SAH and Afro-Asia jet anomalies strengthen the ascending motion and northward water-vapor convergence in Asian drylands, and those are favorable for summer precipitation. The anomalous circulations are linked to the following: (1) the reduced snow cover (SC) over the west TP in the late spring results in decreasing soil moisture and increasing diabatic heating in summer and favors northward extension of TP-SAH and the Afro-Asia jet; (2) the reduced TP/SC increases surface temperature over TP and northeast Asia, which decreases the temperature gradient between the TP and the Indian Ocean, between northeast Asia and East Asia. Decreased temperature gradients are beneficial to the southwest-northeast cyclonic rotation of Afro-Asia jet and consequently strengthen the southerly wind and northward water-vapor flux over TP and surrounding regions. This study emphasizes important effects of the reducing TP/SC on intensifying summer precipitation in Asian drylands.