Abstract

OBJECTIVESTo report epidemiological trends in cerebral palsy including analyses by severity.DESIGNDescriptive longitudinal study in north-east England. Every child with suspected cerebral palsy was examined by a developmental paediatrician to confirm...

Highlights

  • For the more reliably ascertained cases with severity exceeding 30%, there was a twofold increase in rate from 0.98 to 1.96

  • Modern obstetric and neonatal care is associated with a substantial increase in the overall rate of cerebral palsy due mainly to the increases in the rate of cerebral palsy in those < 2500 g

  • Many newborns < 2500 g who would have died survive with cerebral palsy, which is no less severe than it used to be and is more severe than that in normal birth weight babies

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Summary

Objectives

To report epidemiological trends in cerebral palsy including analyses by severity. Severity of 30% and above defines the more reliably ascertained cases; children who died before assessment at around 6 years of age are included in the most severe group (70% and above). Results—584 cases of cerebral palsy were ascertained, yielding a rate that rose from 1.68 per 1000 neonatal survivors during 1964–1968 to 2.45 during 1989–1993 (rise = 0.77; 95% confidence interval 0.2– 1.3). For the more reliably ascertained cases there was a twofold increase in rate from 0.98 to 1.96 (rise = 0.98; 95% confidence interval 0.5–1.4). Conclusions—The rate of cerebral palsy has risen in spite of falling perinatal and neonatal mortality rates, a rise that is even more pronounced when the mildest and least reliably ascertained are excluded. A global measure of severity should be included in registers of cerebral palsy to determine a minimum threshold for international comparisons of rates, and to monitor changes in the distribution of severity

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