Abstract

There is little knowledge on the association of changes over time in adherence to a Mediterranean diet (MD) with changes in modifiable cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors and of markers of low-grade inflammation. To evaluate the association between long-term changes in MD adherence and concurrent changes in established CVD risk factors and in markers of low-grade inflammation among adult Italians. A prospective cohort study was conducted. Dietary and health data were obtained both at baseline (2005-2010) and at follow-up (2017-2020). Adherence to the MD was estimated by a Mediterranean Diet Score ranging from zero to nine points, and the exposure was change in this score measured after a median 12.7-year period. This study included a subgroup of 897 men and 1,126 women aged ≥35 years at enrolment in the Moli-sani Study (n= 24,325). Changes in two composite z scores, including nine established CVD risk factors (eg, serum lipid levels and blood pressure) and four inflammatory markers (including C-reactive protein), respectively, were measured both at enrolment and after the same 12.7-year period. Multivariable-adjusted linear regression models were used. In a multivariable-adjusted analysis, an increased Mediterranean Diet Score over time was associated with decreased levels in the Inflammatory score (β= -0.372, 95% CI -0.720 to -0.025), but had little or no influence on the CVD risk score (β= -0.200, 95% CI -0.752 to 0.351), compared with individuals who had decreased their MD adherence. Among individual food groups/nutrients included in the Mediterranean Diet Score, an increased intake of monounsaturated over saturated fats over time was associated with lower CVD Risk Score, whereas increased consumption of cereals was inversely linked to the Inflammatory Score, compared with the reduced consumption group. An increased adherence to a traditional MD over time was associated with reduced low-grade inflammation. These findings suggest the potential of a traditional Mediterranean eating pattern to help reduce the long-term risk of inflammation-related chronic diseases in an ageing population.

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