Incident pulmonary hypertension in 13,448 cases investigated with repeat echocardiography: insight from the National Echo Database of Australia (NEDA)

Abstract

Abstract Background We addressed the paucity of data describing the characteristics and natural history of incident pulmonary hypertension (PHT). Methods In this observational clinical cohort study, we examined 85,173 individuals undergoing routine echocardiography for heart disease without evidence of PHT (according to estimated right ventricular systolic pressure, eRVSP <30 mmHg). Subsequent age and sex-specific incidence of PHT were derived from repeat echocardiograms conducted a median of 3.43 (interquartile range, IQR 1.49 to 6.55) years apart in 13,448 adults. Progressive PHT severity with individual data linkage to all-cause mortality were examined per PHT stage: eRVSP 30–39 mmHg (mild PHT), 40–49 mmHg (moderate PHT) and ≥50 mmHg (severe PHT). Results A total of 6,169 men (45.9%, mean age 61.4±16.7 years) and 7,279 women (60.8±16.9 years) with no initial evidence of PHT were identified (first echocardiogram). Subsequently, 5,412 (40.2%,) developed PHT (repeat echocardiogram) – comprising 4,125 (30.7%, 65.0±14.3 years), 928 (6.9%, 69.2±13.5 years), and 359 (2.7%, 69.8±12.7 years) cases of mild, moderate, and severe PHT, respectively. The incidence of all stages of PHT was 15.2 cases per million men/annum and 12.5 cases per million women/annum. Overall, median eRVSP increased by +7.4 (IQR +4.6 to +10.1) and +30.7 (IQR +26.0 to +37.3) mmHg; median E:e' ratio increased by +1.0 (IQR −0.4 to +3.2) and +3.6 (IQR +2.0 to +8.2); and median LA volume increased by +5.0 (IQR +0.0 to +12.0) and +19.5 (IQR +9.0 to +31.0) ml/m2, respectively, in mild and severe PHT groups between first and last echocardiograms. During subsequent median 8.1 years follow-up, 2,776/13,448 (20.6%) individuals died from all-cause. Compared to no PHT, the age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause mortality increased to 1.35 (95% confidence interval, CI 1.23–1.47) in mild PHT, 1.94 (95% CI 1.73–2.18) in moderate PHT, and 2.43 (95% CI 2.09–2.83) in severe PHT (all p<0.001). Conclusions New onset of PHT is a common finding among individuals with heart disease followed-up with echocardiography. Even milder stage of PHT is associated with higher mortality, reinforcing the need for proactive evaluation for symptoms consistent with PHT. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Johnson & Johnson: Investigator-initiated grant