Incidence of COVID-19 infection and its variation with demographic and clinical profile: lessons learned at a COVID-19 RT-PCR laboratory in Nagpur, India.

Abstract

Introduction. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic emerged as a global health crisis in 2020. The first case in India was reported on 30 January 2020 and the disease spread throughout the country within months. Old persons, immunocompromised patients and persons with co-morbidities, especially of the respiratory system, have a more severe and often fatal outcome to the disease. In this study we have analysed the socio-demographic trend of the COVID-19 outbreak in Nagpur and adjoining districts. Methods. The study was conducted from April to December 2020. Nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs collected from suspected cases of COVID-19 were tested using reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) at a diagnostic molecular laboratory at a tertiary care hospital in central India. Patient-related data on demographic profile and indication for testing were obtained from laboratory requisition forms. The results of the inconclusive repeat samples were also noted. The data were analysed using SPSS v24.0. Results. A total of 46 898 samples were received from April to December 2020, of which 41 410 were included in the study; 90.6 % of samples belonged to adults and 9.4 % belonged to children. The overall positivity rate in the samples was 19.3 %, although it varied over the period. The yield was significantly high in the elderly age group (25.5 %) and symptomatic patients (22.6 %). On repeat testing of patients whose first test was inconclusive, 17.1% were positive. There was a steady increase of both the number of tests and the rate of positivity in the initial period of the study, followed by a sharp decline. Conclusion. We can conclude that rigorous contact tracing and COVID-appropriate behaviour (wearing a mask, social distancing and hand hygiene) are required to break the chain of transmission. Elderly people are more susceptible to infection and should follow stringent precautions. It is also important to perform repeat testing of those individuals whose tests are inconclusive with fresh samples so that no positive cases are missed. Understanding of demographics is crucial for better management of this crisis and proper allocation of resources.