Abstract
This is the first comprehensive national and subnational epidemiological study reporting the incidence of Alzheimer disease and related dementias (ADRD) in Iran from 2010 to 2019 and predictions for 2024. We extracted age-standardized incidence stratified by sex and provinces from the Institute for Health Measurement and Evaluation (IHME). Arc Map GIS was used to report the geographical distribution, and the Cochran-Armitage test was used for prediction. Predictions showed that the incidence of ADRD would reach 118 (women) and 109 (men) cases per 100,000 population in Iran in 2024. The most increasing incidence from 2010 to 2019 was reported among women in Qom, while Yazd had the most incidences among men and women in 2019. The results showed an increase in the incidence of ADRD in Iran in recent years, and the increase in life expectancy and population aging can be considered as an influential factor.
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