Incidence and trends in Kaposi's sarcoma in the era of effective antiretroviral therapy.

Abstract

To evaluate the impact of antiretroviral and antiherpesvirus therapies on the incidence of KS and assess trends in incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) in a large multicenter HIV/AIDS surveillance system between 1990 and 1998. Incidence was calculated per 100 person-years (py); the effects of therapies on risk for KS were calculated by using multivariate Poisson regression controlling for gender, race/ethnicity, age, HIV exposure mode, CD4+ cell count, and calendar year. Antiretroviral therapy was defined as monotherapy, dual therapy, or triple therapy (95% of triple therapy regimens contained a protease inhibitor). Acyclovir, ganciclovir, and foscarnet were the antiherpesvirus therapies evaluated. There were 37,303 HIV-infected people in the study contributing 70,238 py. Those prescribed triple antiretroviral therapy had a 50% reduction in the incidence of KS (95% confidence interval, 20%-70%) compared with those who were not prescribed antiretroviral therapy and there was a reduction in risk for KS among persons prescribed foscarnet (p =.05). Overall, KS incidence declined an estimated 8.8% per year (observed incidence 4. 1 per 100 py in 1990 to 0.7 per 100 py in 1998; p <.001). Incidence of KS is declining in this large U.S. population and may continue to decline as new, more effective antiretroviral agents are developed and used widely.