In Silico Prediction of Skin Permeability Using a Two-QSAR Approach.

Abstract

Topical and transdermal drug delivery is an effective, safe, and preferred route of drug administration. As such, skin permeability is one of the critical parameters that should be taken into consideration in the process of drug discovery and development. The ex vivo human skin model is considered as the best surrogate to evaluate in vivo skin permeability. This investigation adopted a novel two-QSAR scheme by collectively incorporating machine learning-based hierarchical support vector regression (HSVR) and classical partial least square (PLS) to predict the skin permeability coefficient and to uncover the intrinsic permeation mechanism, respectively, based on ex vivo excised human skin permeability data compiled from the literature. The derived HSVR model functioned better than PLS as represented by the predictive performance in the training set, test set, and outlier set in addition to various statistical estimations. HSVR also delivered consistent performance upon the application of a mock test, which purposely mimicked the real challenges. PLS, contrarily, uncovered the interpretable relevance between selected descriptors and skin permeability. Thus, the synergy between interpretable PLS and predictive HSVR models can be of great use for facilitating drug discovery and development by predicting skin permeability.