Abstract

As an effort to reduce parameter uncertainties in constructing recurrence plots, and in particular to avoid potential artefacts, this paper presents a technique to derive artefact-safe region of parameter sets. This technique exploits both deterministic (incl. chaos) and stochastic signal characteristics of recurrence quantification (i.e. diagonal structures). It is useful when the evaluated signal is known to be deterministic. This study focuses on the recurrence plot generated from the reconstructed phase space in order to represent many real application scenarios when not all variables to describe a system are available (data scarcity). The technique involves random shuffling of the original signal to destroy its original deterministic characteristics. Its purpose is to evaluate whether the determinism values of the original and the shuffled signal remain closely together, and therefore suggesting that the recurrence plot might comprise artefacts. The use of such determinism-sensitive region shall be accompanied by standard embedding optimization approaches, e.g. using indices like false nearest neighbor and mutual information, to result in a more reliable recurrence plot parameterization.

Highlights

  • Recurrence is a fundamental property of many dynamical systems, which can be exploited to characterize the systems behavior in phase space, while a recurrence plot (RP) is the visualization tool for the analysis of this property

  • This approach is based on comparing the fraction of recurrence points that form diagonal lines in the RPs of the original time series with that of a random time series

  • The Lorenz series is known for its deterministic feature, i.e. high determinism value, yet certain parameter combinations can give incorrect, low determinism values, e.g. when m = 1 or m = 10, τ = 6 [Figs. 5(a)– 5(c)]

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Summary

Introduction

Recurrence is a fundamental property of many dynamical systems, which can be exploited to characterize the systems behavior in phase space, while a recurrence plot (RP) is the visualization tool for the analysis of this property. The phase space reconstruction method of time delay embedding [Packard et al, 1980; Takens, 1981] is used [Eq (1)]. Such a reconstruction is useful when not all variables required to describe the system are available (i.e. data scarcity or limited set of observation variables), and where the topology of the system dynamics xi can still be created using only a single variable or observation ui. In RQA, important elements are the diagonal and vertical/horizontal straight lines because they reveal typical dynamical features of the investigated system, such as range of predictability, chaos-order, and chaos-chaos transitions [Trulla et al, 1996]. One of the prominent diagonal line measures is called determinism [DET, Eq (3)], from which the system predictability can be inferred

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