In Search of an Advanced Strategy for the Development of Civilization 50th Anniversary of the Limits to Growth Report to the Club of Rome.

Abstract

This article analyzes the consequences of the publication of the first report to the Club of Rome, The Limits to Growth (1972), which, on the basis of modeling, showed the likelihood of collapse as a result of a discrepancy between the growth of the world population and the possibilities of meeting its needs under the degradation and depletion of natural resources; a strategy to overcome it, the concept of organic growth, is outlined. The author concludes that the past decades have not diminished the conceptual and prognostic significance of that work. Moreover, the severity of global problems associated with demographic growth and world ecosystem degradation has by no means been overcome; on the contrary, it is increasing. The adopted world strategy for sustainable development until the 2030s shows that humanity has taken seriously the warnings of the Club of Rome. This is one of the most important results of that remote but rather significant publication.