Abstract
We describe and discuss the development of scenarios for the Colombian mining industry. The scenarios were developed with a large group of stakeholders from across the Colombian government, society, and commerce, all with interest in and/or affected by the future of the mining sector. The process resulted in the creation of three different scenarios for the Colombian mining sector to 2030. The article describes the participatory process used for involving the stakeholders, including the workshops and the mapping technique that was used. It also outlines the three scenarios and possible policies that should be considered by the Colombian government in order to prepare the sector for the future.
Highlights
The mining sector has long been an important, and in many cases and countries, a controversial sector
Mining plays an important role in the economy of developed countries such as Australia and Canada, while developing countries such as Angola and Congo economies are more dependent on demand and price of raw materials [1]
We have developed a set of scenarios for the Colombian mining industry, which allow us to shed some light on the possible future development of the sector
Summary
The mining sector has long been an important, and in many cases and countries, a controversial sector. Given the interaction of economic, environmental, and social factors, mining becomes a complex and complicated issue. Add to this the often large fluctuations of the price of raw materials resulting in significant fluctuations in the price of dependent products, e.g. copper price fell by more than 50 percent from 2011 to 2016 [10]. UPME were interested in getting a better understanding of the possible development of the mining sector in Colombia. This included the economic, social and environmental evolution under a range of different sets of (possible) national and global growth paths. We continue with a discussion of the implications for the Colombian mining sector and ends with a conclusion
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