Abstract

Patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are at increased risk of thrombosis and bleeding. However, the risk of thrombosis and bleeding in patients with AF and MPN compared with the general population with AF is unclear. Additionally, traditional risk scores (CHA2DS2-VASC and HAS-BLED) for risk/benefit estimation of thromboprophylaxis in AF do not account for MPN status. Therefore, we aimed to investigate bleeding and thrombosis risk in patients with MPN hospitalized for AF. We utilized the National Readmission Database (NRD) to identify patients with AF with and without MPN. Primary bleeding and thrombosis outcomes were in-hospital or 30-day readmission for bleeding or thrombosis, respectively. We propensity score (PS) matched patients with and without MPN. Risk of primary outcomes in MPN was assessed in PS matched cohort using logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve used to evaluate predictive ability of CHA2DS2-VASC and HAS-BLED of primary thrombosis and bleeding outcomes, respectively. 24,185 patients without MPN were matched with 1,617 patients with MPN and variables were balanced between groups. Patients with MPN were at increased risk of meeting the thrombosis (OR 1.98, 95% CI 1.23-3.21) but not bleeding (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.63-1.19) primary outcomes. In MPN, CHA2DS2-VASC predicted thrombosis (C-statistic 0.66, 95% CI 0.54-0.78) but HAS-BLED was a poor predictor of bleeding (C-statistic 0.55, 95% CI 0.46-0.64). In patients with AF, MPN was associated with increased risk of bleeding and thrombosis. HAS-BLED scores did not accurately predict bleeding in MPN. Further investigation is needed to refine risk scores in MPN.

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