Abstract

After several years of production history on at least some of the more than 7,000 CSG production wells in the Surat and Bowen basins, reservoir engineers continue to note that understanding detailed permeability spatial variation near the well bore and its impact on actual production performance remains poor. There is a growing realisation that permeability of coals has an even higher variability than was initially expected, and that this variability occurs across a shorter range than that of the typical inter-well spacing (~750 m). As a result, flow between wells, pressure depletion, water and gas production rates and ultimate recovery is difficult to predict. Forecasting short-range continuity of different categories of absolute permeabilities through modelling is the key challenge. Other physical or geophysical parameters may change similarly with the same range. Generation models tend to over-estimate the lateral continuity of coals and associated carbonaceous shales resulting in a poor match between the model predictions and the observed production data. This may be due to incomplete information on the short-range variability of porosity and permeability and the appropriate up-scaled values for these parameters used in the reservoir simulation models. This extended abstract discusses controls on permeability, both the geological influences and the impact of drilling and completion on permeability. Taking a holistic approach to the problem of understanding permeability variability, the relative impact of these controls is estimated and discussed. With the benefit of rudimentary ranking of these controls, techniques have been developed to improve measurement and modelling of permeability variability. These approaches can help improve the predictive modelling capability of reservoir performance.

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