Abstract

Presented is the methodology for comprehensive evaluation of epidemiological risks (spatial and temporal characteristics, risk factors and cohorts) associated with natural-focal infectious diseases that pose a threat to sanitary-epidemiological welfare of the population within the frames of Universiade-2013. The event has been characterized from the viewpoint of mass gathering taking into consideration the complex of related threats to sanitary-epidemiological welfare of the population. Analyzed has been regional epidemiological situation on the currently important infections, whereas natural-focal infections have been assessed in reference to epidemiological risk. Based on the comprehensive evaluation with GIS software application differentiated have been the territories against the level of potential epidemiological hazard, put forward has been methodological approach to non-specific prophylaxis of natural-focal infectious diseases. Discussed have been the fundamentals of the approach, herewith it has been demonstrated that justified selection of internal threat and identification of spatial risk factors, as well as nature, scope and timing of the preventive measures ensure provision of favorable epidemiological situation as seen in the case of Universiade-2013.

Highlights

  • В статье представлена методика комплексной оценки эпидемиологического риска природно-очаговых инфекционных болезней, представляющих собой угрозу для санитарно-эпидемиологического благополучия населения при подготовке и проведении Универсиады-2013

  • Improvement of the Preventive Measures for Managing Universiade-2013 Held in Kazan, Based on Comprehensive Evaluation of Epidemiological Risks as Regards Natural-Focal Infectious Diseases

  • Based on the comprehensive evaluation with GIS software application differentiated have been the territories against the level of potential epidemiological hazard, put forward has been methodological approach to non-specific prophylaxis of natural-focal infectious diseases

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Summary

Материалы и методы

Для анализа использованы данные официальной статистики Управления Роспотребнадзора по Республике Татарстан и Центра гигиены и эпидемиологии по Республике Татарстан, персонифицированные сведения из первичных учетных форм (форма 058/у и форма No 060/у) за 5-летний период по зарегистрированным больным геморрагической лихорадкой с почечным синдромом (ГЛПС). ЭПИДЕМИОЛОГИЯ анализа применялась географическая информационная система (ГИС) ArcGIS 10.1 в составе ArcMap, ArcCatalog и модуля расширения ArcGIS Spatial Analyst. Аналитическая платформа Deductor 5.3 использовалась для статистической обработки и интеллектуальных методов анализа и моделирования

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