Improvement in sudden cardiac death risk prediction by the enhanced American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association strategy in Chinese patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Abstract

The lack of validated and effective sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk prediction methods is the biggest barrier to perform the lifesaving treatment with a prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator in Chinese patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of 3 existing SCD risk prediction methods recommended by the 2011 American College of Cardiology Foundation and American Heart Association (ACCF/AHA) guideline, the 2014 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guideline, and the 2019 enhanced American College of Cardiology (ACC)/AHA strategy in Chinese patients with HCM. The present study consisted of 1369 consecutive adult patients with HCM without a history of SCD events. The primary end point was a composite of SCD and equivalent events, namely, resuscitation from cardiac arrest and appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator shock therapy for ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation. During follow-up of 3.2 ± 2.4 years, 39 patients reached SCD end points, of whom 26 (66.7%) were correctly predicted as those at a high risk of SCD by using methods recommended by the 2019 enhanced ACC/AHA strategy, 20 (51.3%) by the 2011 ACCF/AHA guideline, but only 5 (12.8%) by the 2014 ESC guideline. The 2019 enhanced ACC/AHA strategy showed a higher C-statistic (0.647) for SCD prediction than did the 2011 ACCF/AHA guideline (0.598) and 2014 ESC guideline (0.605) and resulted in the correct reclassification of SCD risk when compared with the 2011 ACCF/AHA guideline (net reclassification index 0.113; P = .074) and 2014 ESC guideline (net reclassification index 0.245; P = .038). The 2019 enhanced ACC/AHA strategy showed better predictive performance for SCD risk stratification in Chinese patients with HCM, with a notably high sensitivity.