Improved survival of poor-risk non-seminomatous germ cell tumor patients: real-world data from a single institute in Japan.

Abstract

The International Germ Cell Cancer Collaborative Group Update Consortium showed the improved survival of patients with a non-seminomatous germ cell tumor. We updated the survival data of the non-seminomatous germ cell tumor patients treated at our hospital. We analyzed the outcomes of 138 patients treated in 1981-2018. We compared the survival of the patients treated in the early (1981-99) and later (2000-18) periods and determined the groups' progression-free survival and overall survival using the Kaplan-Meier method. We used a web-based application of the International Germ Cell Cancer Collaborative Group Update model to calculate each patient's predicted 3-year progression-free survival. The 5-year progression-free survival rates of the good, intermediate and poor prognosis groups were 91, 83 and 64%, and their 5-year overall survival rates were 97, 89 and 82%, respectively. There were no significant differences in the progression-free survival or overall survival of the good and intermediate prognosis groups by treatment year. The 5-year progression-free survival of the poor prognosis group was almost identical in both treatment year (60 and 65%, respectively). By contrast, the 5-year overall survival in the later period (85%) was higher than that in the early period (70%). The median-predicted 3-year progression-free survival rates of the good, intermediate and poor prognosis groups were 92, 83 and 51% (P<0.01), respectively. The concordance index for the good, intermediate and poor prognosis groups were 0.56, 0.79 and 0.67, respectively. The survival of our poor prognosis non-seminomatous germ cell tumor patients improved over time. The 5-year overall survival of patients treated in 2000-18 reached 85%.