Abstract

Abstract. For 2 decades, meteor radars have been routinely used to monitor atmospheric temperature around 90 km altitude. A common method, based on a temperature gradient model, is to use the height dependence of meteor decay time to obtain a height-averaged temperature in the peak meteor region. Traditionally this is done by fitting a linear regression model in the scattered plot of log⁡10(1/τ) and height, where τ is the half-amplitude decay time of the received signal. However, this method was found to be consistently biasing the slope estimate. The consequence of such a bias is that it produces a systematic offset in the estimated temperature, thus requiring calibration with other co-located measurements. The main reason for such a biasing effect is thought to be due to the failure of the classical regression model to take into account the measurement error in τ and the observed height. This is further complicated by the presence of various geophysical effects in the data, as well as observational limitation in the measuring instruments. To incorporate various error terms in the statistical model, an appropriate regression analysis for these data is the errors-in-variables model. An initial estimate of the slope parameter is obtained by assuming symmetric error variances in normalised height and log⁡10(1/τ). This solution is found to be a good prior estimate for the core of this bivariate distribution. Further improvement is achieved by defining density contours of this bivariate distribution and restricting the data selection process within higher contour levels. With this solution, meteor radar temperatures can be obtained independently without needing any external calibration procedure. When compared with co-located lidar measurements, the systematic offset in the estimated temperature is shown to have reduced to 5 % or better on average.

Highlights

  • Introduction and backgroundAs meteoroids enter the Earth’s atmosphere, they produce ionised trails which can be detected as back-scattered radio signals by interferometric radars

  • After the trail has been formed, the ionisation begins to dissipate by various processes, such as ambipolar diffusion, eddy diffusion, or electron loss due to recombination and attachment depending on the height of ablation

  • The ordinary least-squares method will not be valid for meteor radar (MR) data since neither the height nor the decay time can be predetermined as an independent variable, and both variables are subject to intrinsic measurement errors and various geophysical effects

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Summary

Introduction and background

As meteoroids enter the Earth’s atmosphere, they produce ionised trails which can be detected as back-scattered radio signals by interferometric radars. The pioneer work done by Hocking (1999) to implement this method using ordinary least-squares fitting showed a clear systematic offset between the MR temperature and co-located lidar measurements, indicating that the estimated slope was not determined correctly To correct for this offset, a common practice is to calibrate the meteor radar temperatures using temperatures from lidar, OH spectrometer, satellite or rocket climatology. The ordinary least-squares method will not be valid for MR data since neither the height nor the decay time can be predetermined as an independent variable, and both variables are subject to intrinsic measurement errors and various geophysical effects The reasons for such a bias, and the need for calibration, are discussed on theoretical and experimental grounds in Sect. A comparison study of the estimated MR temperatures with co-located lidar temperatures is discussed to validate the method

Instrumentation and data
Estimation of error variances in decay time and height
Results and discussion
Summary
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