Abstract

8034 Background: Minimal residual disease (MRD) assessment in multiple myeloma (MM) has improved our ability to assess disease activity, resulting in more advanced prognostication. While MRD assessment remains confined to the bone marrow (BM) plasma cell population, serum studies including immunofixation (IFE) are required to complete response evaluation. The significance of those who are MRDneg yet have detectable monoclonal protein through IFE remains unclear. Methods: We retrospectively studied 256 MM patients who had MRD assessment via the Euroflow multiparametric flow cytometry on the BM with concomitant serum IFE testing. Patients who were MRDneg were included in the study. Outcomes included probability of disease progression (PD) at 1 year. The Cox-proportional hazards model was used to compare probability of PD among different groups. Time to progression (TTP) was calculated as the difference from date of MFC analysis to PD in months. Results: Among the entire cohort, 178 (70%) patients were MRDneg and median follow-up from MRD assessment was 6.3 months. Among these patients, 74 (42%) had a positive IFE at the time of MRD analysis. Within the MRDneg/IFEpos group, 31 (42%) patients remained IFEpos after a median follow up of 5.5 mo from initial MRD/IFE testing while 34 patients eventually became IFEneg after a median of 2.8 mo with no subsequent IFE available in 9 patients. The 1 year probability of PD in the MRDneg/IFEneg group was 20% compared to 41% in the MRDneg/IFEpos group (P < 0.01, Wilcoxon test). When comparing subsequent IFE status in those who were MRDneg/IFEpos, those who remained IFEpos had a trend towards shorter TTP compared to patients who later became IFEneg. Conclusions: Persistent monoclonal protein in the face of MRD negativity predicts for a shorter TTP. This likely reflects persistent disease that was not sampled on the BM aspirate in many of these patients compared to those who eventually become IFEneg with a trend towards longer TTP owing to the prolonged half-life and therefore clearance of M protein. This supports the current strategy of assessing for MRD at the time of suspected complete response to reduce the chance of positive MRD tests and thus avoidance of multiple BM exams.

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