Implication of MRI Risk Stratification System on the Survival Benefits of Adjuvant Chemotherapy After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Patients With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Abstract

To investigate the implication of a Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) risk stratification system on the selection of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) who can benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT). This retrospective study included 328 patients with LARC who underwent NCRT and surgery. The median follow-up duration was 79 months (Interquartile range, 66-94 months). Cox logistic regression analysis was used to identify MRI risk factors and develop a risk stratification system to stratify patients into groups with high and low risks. Kaplan-Meier curves of distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) and overall survival (OS) were used to show the benefits of ACT and stratify results based on the MRI risk stratification system and postoperative pathological staging. An MRI risk stratification system was built based on four MRI risk factors, including MRI-identified T3b-T4 stage, N1-N2 stage, extramural venous invasion, and tumor deposits. 74 (22.6%) patients with 3-4 MRI risk factors were classified into the MRI high-risk group. ACT could significantly improve 5-year DMFS (19.2% versus 52.1%; p<0.001) and OS (34.6% versus 75.0%; p<0.001) for patients in the MRI high-risk group, while ACT had no survival benefit for patients in the MRI low-risk group. The benefits of ACT were not observed in patients with any pathological staging subgroups (ypT0-2N0, ypT3-4N0, and ypN+). Patients in the MRI high-risk group could benefit from ACT, regardless of postoperative pathological staging. Baseline MRI should be considered more in ACT decision-making.