Abstract

In this paper, we develop an overlapping generation model with imperfect competition and land to provide a theoretical foundation for some empirical observations made since the end of the 1970s. The problem is that these new “stylized facts” do not coincide with Kaldor’s stylized facts and unfortunately the standard growth models are not able to explain these new facts. By using our model, we are able to theoretically derive these new facts and to provide a theoretical foundation for them. In particular, increasing market concentration leads to a decline in the labor income share, to a decline in the capital income share, to a decline in the natural interest rate, to an increasing wealth to income ratio, and to an over-proportional increase in land prices in developed countries. The model developed for analysis has close similarity with the standard neoclassical overlapping generation model with endogenous growth and land. The main difference between the standard neoclassical and the model in this paper is the market structure. Instead of assuming perfectly competitive markets, we assume an oligopolistic market structure. This leads to the occurrence of pure profits for firms and, accordingly, the input factors are no longer paid their marginal products.

Highlights

  • In 1961, Nicholas Kaldor (1961) summarized the stylized facts on economic growth.Many growth theorists have used these stylized facts to test the validity of growth models

  • The standard neoclassical growth model of Solow (1956, 1957), the overlapping generations (OLG) model of Diamond (1965) or the AK-model of Rebelo (1991) were able to generate the stylized facts. This methodology was justified by Romer (1989, p. 54) in the following way, “In the formative stages of a body of theory, this kind of informal treatment of the data can be quite useful, for without stylized facts to aim at, theorists would be shooting in the dark”

  • Only the land needed for housing determines the cost of housing. This simplifying assumption can be justified by the results of Knoll et al (2017), who have empirically shown that the evolution of real estate prices in the last 70 years is largely (80%) driven by the evolution of land prices

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Summary

Introduction

In 1961, Nicholas Kaldor (1961) summarized the stylized facts on economic growth. Many growth theorists have used these stylized facts to test the validity of growth models. In contradiction to Kaldor, recent empirical research (e.g., Eggertsson et al 2021) states that the natural interest rate has shown the tendency to decline instead of remaining constant, and that the labor and capital income share have exhibited the tendency to decrease instead of being constant. The neoclassical growth models are not able to explain these phenomena, and for this reason, we present a model that explains that increasing market power will cause the labor income share, the capital income share, and the interest rate to decline and the wealth–income ratio to rise.

Background of Increasing Market Power
The Model
The Households
The Production
The Allocation of Land
Comparative Statics
The Dynamics
Findings
The Conclusions
Full Text
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