Abstract

Developing predictive methods to forecast the impacts of existing and emerging invasive species is of critical importance to biodiversity conservation. However, invader impacts are context-dependent, making reliable and robust predictions challenging. In particular, it is unclear how temporal variabilities in relation to temperature regime shifts influence invader ecological impacts. In the present study, we quantify the functional responses of three coexisting freshwater fishes: the native freshwater River Goby Glossogobiuscallidus, and the non-native Mozambique Tilapia Oreochromismossambicus and Western Mosquitofish Gambusiaaffinis, under two temperature treatments using chironomid larvae as prey. This was used along with fish abundance data to determine temporal differences in ecological impacts of each fish species between seasons (i.e. at two corresponding temperatures). All three fish species exhibited potentially population-destabilizing Type II functional responses. Their maximum feeding rates were consistently higher in the warm temperature treatment, whereas attack rates tended to be reduced. Non-native Mozambique Tilapia had the highest maximum feeding rate under both temperature treatments (18 °C and 25 °C), followed by the non-native Western Mosquitofish and lastly the native River Goby, suggesting greater per capita impacts on native prey by non-native fishes. The predatory fish abundances differed significantly according to season, with native River Goby and non-native Mozambique Tilapia generally more abundant than non-native Western Mosquitofish. By multiplying functional response maximum feeding rates with abundances of each fish species across the seasonal gradient, the relative impact potential of non-native Mozambique Tilapia was consistently higher compared to that of native gobies. Western Mosquitofish impacts were less apparent, owing to their low abundances. We demonstrate how seasonal temperature fluctuations affect the relative impact capacities of introduced species and the utility of consumer functional response and the relative impact potential metric in impact forecasting.

Highlights

  • Biological invasions are a central driver of global biodiversity loss (Sala et al 2000; Turak et al 2016; Bertelsmeier and Keller 2018; Shuai et al 2018)

  • Using the relative impact potential metric proposed by Dick et al (2017), this study provides insights into how the ecological impacts of non-native species are mediated by temporal variabilities associated with seasons through the multiplying of functional responses and population abundances

  • Irrespective of seasonal variations, our results corroborate with studies that identified Mozambique Tilapia as a impactful non-native species (Canonico et al 2005; Maddern et al 2007), whilst Western Mosquitofish impacts were less pronounced

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Summary

Introduction

Biological invasions are a central driver of global biodiversity loss (Sala et al 2000; Turak et al 2016; Bertelsmeier and Keller 2018; Shuai et al 2018). This loss has socio-economic impacts, and threatens ecosystem functions and services (Ricciardi et al 2017). Upon arrival in a new environment, non-native species can cause ecological impact on native species assemblages through a range of biotic interactions (e.g. predation, competition and parasitism) (Vitousek et al 1996; Thomsen et al 2011; Havel et al 2015; Seebens et al 2018). Direct biotic interactions (i.e. predation) can drive trophic cascades through alterations of prey abundance and native predator fitness (Gallardo et al 2016; Penk et al 2017)

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