Abstract

This study investigates the hydrology of Castle River in the southern Canadian Rocky Mountains. Temperature and precipitation data are analyzed regarding a climate trend between 1960 and 2010 and a general warming is identified. Observed streamflow has been declining in reaction to a decreasing snow cover and increasing evapotranspiration. To simulate the hydrological processes in the watershed, the physically based hydrological model WaSiM (Water Balance Simulation Model) is applied. Calibration and validation provide very accurate results and also the observed declining runoff trend can be reproduced with a slightly differing inclination. Besides climate change induced runoff variations, the impact of a vast wildfire in 2003 is analyzed. To determine burned areas a remote sensing method of differenced burn ratios is applied using Landsat data. The results show good agreement compared to observed fire perimeter areas. The impacts of the wildfires are evident in observed runoff data. They also result in a distinct decrease in model efficiency if not considered via an adapted model parameterization, taking into account the modified land cover characteristics for the burned area. Results in this study reveal (i) the necessity to establish specific land cover classes for burned areas; (ii) the relevance of climate and land cover change on the hydrological response of the Castle River watershed; and (iii) the sensitivity of the hydrological model to accurately simulate the hydrological behavior under varying boundary conditions. By these means, the presented methodological approach is considered robust to implement a scenario simulations framework for projecting the impacts of future climate and land cover change in the vulnerable region of Alberta’s Rocky Mountains.

Highlights

  • The southern Rocky Mountains in Alberta, Canada, are an important region for the generation of freshwater runoff especially due to their contribution of melt water in spring months [1,2].Climate change affects the watersheds in the southern Rocky Mountains with an increase in air temperatures, especially during winter months, and a decrease in snow cover

  • The objectives of this study are to (i) analyze characteristics and trends of measured climate and streamflow data; (ii) calibrate and validate the hydrological model Water Balance Simulation Model (WaSiM) for the watershed; (iii) map burn severity from satellite imagery for a severe wildfire in 2003; and (iv) simulate the impact of climate variability and forest fires on runoff behavior in the Castle River watershed

  • Low or negative Relative differenced NBR (RdNBR) values indicate an increase in vegetation cover and show unchanged areas [13]

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Summary

Introduction

The southern Rocky Mountains in Alberta, Canada, are an important region for the generation of freshwater runoff especially due to their contribution of melt water in spring months [1,2]. Climate change affects the watersheds in the southern Rocky Mountains with an increase in air temperatures, especially during winter months, and a decrease in snow cover. The trend in runoff due to climate variability in the Castle River watershed was analyzed by Rood [5] and Byrne [1]. Severe fire events can reduce infiltration rates as a consequence of the generation of a hydrophobic soil layer caused by high temperatures or soil sealing forming crusts after a fire [10,39]. During the winter the snow melt rates are higher due to reduced shading by canopy [39]

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