Impacts of COVID-19 on clinical indicators and mortality in patients with chronic conditions in Catalonia, Spain: A retrospective population-based cohort study.

Abstract

The reallocation of health care services during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic disrupted the continuity of primary care. This study examines the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on clinical indicators within the Catalan population, emphasising individuals with chronic conditions. It provides insights into mortality and transfer rates considering intersectional perspectives. We designed a retrospective, observational population-based cohort study based on routinely collected data from January 2015 to June 2021 for all individuals available in the Information System for Research in Primary Care (Sistema d'Informació per al Desenvolupament de la Investigació en Atenció Primària (SIDIAP)), the largest public primary care database in Catalonia, Spain. We included 6 301 095 individuals, constituting 81.6% of Catalonia's population in 2020. To perform a repeated measurements analysis of the indicators, we focussed on individuals who had one or more indicators in both the pre-pandemic (January 2015 to March 2020) and pandemic periods (March 2020 to June 2021), and those diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D), high blood pressure, and heart failure. We selected key clinical indicators for analysis, including systolic and diastolic blood pressure, body mass index (BMI), cholesterol (total, high, and low-density lipoprotein), triglycerides, glycosylated haemoglobin, the Barthel index, and cardiovascular risk (Registre Gironí del cor (REGICOR) index). Mortality and transfer rates increased during the pandemic, contributing to a decline in the active population in the public health system. We also observed a reduction in pandemic period prevalence of patients with chronic conditions: -26.7% for heart failure, -15.1% for high blood pressure, and -14.6% for T2D. In both pre-pandemic and pandemic periods, 1 632 013 subjects had at least one clinical indicator record. Clinical indicators worsened in patients diagnosed with chronic conditions during the pandemic. Most indicators worsened, with differences between men and women (+9.4% vs +3.7% for the REGICOR index and -14.1% vs -16.6% for the Barthel index in men and in women, respectively), and to a similar extent (or greater in some cases) in individuals without these conditions. We used longitudinal data to assess the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on population health while considering a wide range of clinical indicators and socioeconomic determinants. Our analysis shows a deterioration in clinical indicators during the pandemic, particularly in cardiometabolic factors, underscoring the importance of continuous primary care for individuals with chronic conditions.