Abstract

The present paper aims to elucidate impacts of climate change on the availability and security of water and energy in the Middle East and North Africa region (MENA region; including the Eastern Mediterranean) in the context of the water–energy nexus. It largely builds on existing knowledge and understanding and aims to present a review of existing information on this topic. The region is particularly challenged by a number of factors, including the large variability of bio-geographical characteristics, extreme population growth over the last few decades, and substantial societal and economical transitions, as well as armed conflicts in some of the countries in the region. Anticipated changes in climate conditions will exacerbate the challenges regarding water and energy security in the region. Major impacts of climate change include a significant increase in summer temperatures, which will lead to a growing number of heat waves, primarily in urban structures. A general decrease in precipitation in many of the MENA countries is foreseen, resulting in enhanced droughts and a growing number of dry spells. In addressing energy and water scarcities and their mutual interrelationships, an integrated water–energy nexus concept offers promising prospects to improve environmental, climate, human, and political security. However, only very few countries in the MENA region have presently implemented such a concept. Mitigation and adaptation strategies addressing water and energy scarcity include enhanced efficiency of resource use, integrated technology assessments regarding electricity generation, and a stronger reliance on renewable/solar technologies. While looking at the MENA region as a whole, some emphasis will be given to Cyprus and the Eastern Mediterranean.

Highlights

  • Life on Earth depends critically on the availability of water and energy in various forms

  • Africa are not covered in theand models shown here, results for the wider MENA region are consistent with the results shown here [25]

  • 2016, the capacity of new power generation facilities in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries is projected to increase by 294 GW between 2014 to 2040

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Summary

Introduction

Life on Earth depends critically on the availability of water and energy in various forms. The inherent feedback and interdependencies between the individual elements of the climate system may lead to the exceedance of critical thresholds and tipping points Such a development will significantly challenge water, energy, and food security in many parts of the world, not least in the Middle East and North Africa Region (MENA region) and the Eastern Mediterranean (from here on, the term MENA region is meant to include the Eastern Mediterranean, without explicit mentioning) see, e.g., [10,11]. While these issues are relevant on a global scale, this paper focusses more on a part of the world that may face some of the challenges mentioned above at higher intensities. This notwithstanding, I trust that the reader will still benefit from the material provided and from the conclusions drawn

The MENA Region
Regional Changes in Temperature and Precipitation
Patterns of changing fromPRECIS
Enhanced Warming in Urban Structures
Recent
The Water–Energy Nexus
The Water–Energy Nexus in the MENA region
The Energy Sector
The Water Sector
General Considerations
A CSP Plant for the Co-Generation of Electricity and Desalinated Seawater
Conclusions
Background
Findings
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