Abstract

The major grain-producing areas will be the key areas of future China fallow. It is important to explore the influence of farmers’ value perceptions on their fallow willingness in these areas. We analyzed this impact of value perception by using an ordered PROBIT model and survey data from the major grain-producing areas of Hubei and Hunan, China. The conclusions of this study are as follows: (1) A considerable proportion of farmers are willing to participate in farmland fallow, while a considerable proportion of farmers are neutral; (2) farmers’ value perceptions of farmland fallow have a significant positive impact on their fallow willingness; (3) farmers’ ages and education levels have a positive impact on farmers’ willingness to directly participate in farmland fallow, while per capita farmland area has a negative impact; (4) the key factors for successful fallow are solving the problem of non-agricultural employment of farmers and appropriately formulating fallow mode, scale, and subsidy standards. This study proposes that the government can develop farmers’ good value perceptions of fallow through appropriate subsidies and adequate publicity to strengthen their fallow consciousness.

Highlights

  • Farmland quality which plays an important role in the use value of farmland, is an important factor in ensuring grain production and food security [1]

  • This study aims to analyze the impact of value perception on farmers’ willingness to, directly and indirectly, participate in farmland fallow based on data from major grainproducing areas in China

  • This study explored the impact of farmer value perception on their fallow willingness, which was more consistent with the psychology of farmers who are rational people

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Summary

Introduction

Farmland quality which plays an important role in the use value of farmland, is an important factor in ensuring grain production and food security [1]. Modern methods of agricultural production greatly increase the agricultural output, causing the supply of agricultural products to exceed demand in many countries and regions [2,3,4,5] and leading to farmland overuse, farmland degeneration, ecological damage, farmland pollution, soil, and water loss, serious groundwater overdrawing and other problems. Many developed countries and regions have built well-established systems of farmland fallow in order to balance agricultural products’ supply and demand and promote agriculturally sustainable development, like the Conservation Reserve Program in the USA, the MacSharry Reform in the EU, and the Farmland Fallow Plan in Japan [7,8,9,10].

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