Impact of tumor multiplicity on the prognosis of patients with primary renal cell carcinoma: a SEER database analysis

Abstract

To compare clinical characteristics and survival outcomes of patients with multiple renal cell carcinoma versus single renal cell carcinoma. Develop a prognostic model for predicting prognosis in patients with multiple tumors and analyze prognostic factors. Patients with primary multiple renal cell carcinoma were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2004–2015). They were divided into single-tumor and multiple-tumor groups. Survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank test. A Cox regression model was used to identify potential prognostic factors. A total of 19,489 renal cell carcinoma cases were included, with 947 in the multiple-tumor group and 18,542 in the single-tumor group. The multiple-tumor group had lower cancer-specific survival (P = 0.03, HR = 1.431). Cox regression identified risk factors for the multiple-tumor group including number of tumors, gender, combined summary stage, T stage, N stage, tumor size, and type of surgery. The predicted probabilities showed acceptable agreement with the actual observations at 3-, 5-, and 8-years area under the curve values in both the training and validation cohorts (0.831 vs. 0.605; 0.775 vs. 0.672; and 0.797 vs. 0.699, respectively). Compared with single renal cell carcinoma, multiple renal cell carcinoma is associated with decreased cancer-specific survival. Additionally, we identified several prognostic factors including the number of tumors, T stage, tumor size, and type of surgery. These findings offer valuable insights for selecting appropriate treatment strategies for patients diagnosed with multiple renal cell carcinomas.