Impact of the Sino-US Trade War on Factor Endowment in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area: A Perspective from Factor Endowment Theory

Abstract

This study chooses the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area as the research object to explore the impact of Sino-US trade barriers on the factor endowment of the region. Based on the factor endowment theory, this paper proposes a hypothesis, tests collinearity, and establishes a multiple linear regression model. The results show that the trade barriers between China and the U.S. cannot explain the changes in GBA's factor endowments since the fitting degree is low. The correlation test shows the substitution effect between factor endowments. Based on the data analysis results, Sino-US trade barriers did not affect the factor endowment of the GBA. The possible reasons are the trade deflection and the policy that restrict factor mobility.