Impact of Successive Office Blood Pressure Measurements During a Single Visit on Cardiovascular Risk Prediction: Analysis of CARTaGENE.

Abstract

Multiple office blood pressure (BP) readings correlate more closely with ambulatory BP than single readings. Whether they are associated with long-term outcomes and improve cardiovascular risk prediction is unknown. Our objective was to assess the long-term impact of multiple office BP readings. We used data from CARTaGENE, a population-based survey comprising individuals aged 40 to 70 years. Three BP readings (BP1, BP2, and BP3) at 2-minute intervals were obtained using a semiautomated device. They were averaged to generate BP1-2, BP2-3, and BP1-2-3 for systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP. Cardiovascular events (major adverse cardiovascular event [MACE]: cardiovascular death, stroke, and myocardial infarction) during a 10-year follow-up were recorded. Associations with MACE were obtained using adjusted Cox models. Predictive performance was assessed with 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease scores and their associated C statistics. In the 17 966 eligible individuals, 2378 experienced a MACE during follow-up. Crude SBP values ranged from 122.5 to 126.5 mm Hg. SBP3 had the strongest association with MACE incidence (hazard ratio, 1.10 [1.05-1.15] per SD) and SBP1 the weakest (hazard ratio, 1.06 [1.01-1.10]). All models including SBP1 (SBP1, SBP1-2, and SBP1-2-3) were underperformed. At a given SBP value, the excess MACE risk conferred by SBP3 was 2× greater than SBP1. In atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease scores, SBP3 yielded the highest C statistic, significantly higher than most other SBP measures. In contrast to SBP, all diastolic BP readings yielded similar results. Cardiovascular risk prediction is improved by successive office SBP values, especially when the first reading is discarded. These findings reinforce the necessity of using multiple office BP readings.