Impact of Solar Activity and ENSO on the Early Summer Asian Monsoon During the Last Millennium

Abstract

AbstractThe Asian Monsoonal rainfall accounts for the majority of annual regional precipitation in East and South Asia and could be remotely regulated by El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Besides, several paleoclimate records and simulations have indicated solar signals in the Asian Monsoon, implying the impact of solar activity on the regional monsoon precipitation. By conducting multi‐linear regression analysis to the solar irradiance forced single‐forcing experiment in the last millennium, this study presents the comparison of solar and ENSO effects on monsoonal precipitation in South and East Asia during early summer (May–June). Increased total solar irradiance during high solar activity years tends to trigger a favorable environment for developing monsoon onset, leading to more precipitation against ENSO‐related patterns over Southeast and South Asia before peak‐summer (July–August). The result supports reconstructed terrestrial records and underlines considerable influences of the solar cycle on the variation of the Asian Summer Monsoon.