Impact of Smoking on Survival Outcomes in HPV-Related Oropharyngeal Carcinoma: A Meta-analysis.

Abstract

Characterize the survival impact of smoking on HPV-related (human papillomavirus) oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma. Articles from 2000 to 2019 in the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases were systematically reviewed for content and inclusion/exclusion criteria. Two reviewers independently analyzed the databases for eligibility and quality of the articles. Demographic data, smoking history, and survival outcomes were recorded. Hazard ratios and 95% CIs were collectively analyzed through a random effects meta-analysis model. Fifteen articles were included in the meta-analysis for overall survival, disease-specific survival, disease-free survival, progression-free survival, and locoregional recurrence outcomes. The overall survival hazard ratio was 2.4 for ever having smoked (95% CI, 1.4-4.0; P = .0006, I2 = .384) and 3.2 for current smoking (95% CI, 2.2-4.6; P < .0001, I2 = 0). The hazard ratio for disease-specific survival in current smokers was 6.3 (95% CI, 1.3-29.3; P = .0194, I2 = 0). Ever smoking had a larger impact on overall survival and disease-specific survival than the 10-pack year smoking threshold. Smoking negatively affects survival in patients with HPV-related oropharyngeal carcinoma across all outcomes. Current smoking during treatment is associated with the greatest reduction in survival, possibly secondary to diminished radiation therapy efficacy.