Impact of Route Choice on Pedestrian Casualties in Car Bomb Terrorist Attacks

Abstract

Current situation of international violent terrorism is severe. Public places with high density crowd are more likely to be attacked by violent terrorists. Terrorist attacks such as car bombs are one of the very common and harmful types. “10•28” Beijing Golden Water Bridge Attack is a very typical example. Based on the case analysis of the Beijing Golden Water Bridge Attack, this paper established a simulation model of a car bomb terrorist attack on the basis of the social force model of the Anylogic software platform and conducted simulation experiments on the impact of route choice on pedestrian casualties in the car bomb violent terrorist attack. The simulation results show that: there is minimal damage to pedestrians under a specific route. These conclusions are of great practical significance for the placement and arrangement of safety protection facilities for large-scale event venues.