Impact of Low-dose Chest CT Screening on the Association Between Rurality and Lung Cancer Outcomes.

Abstract

Lung cancer mortality is higher among rural United States populations compared with nonrural ones. Little is known about screening low-dose chest computed tomography (LDCT) outcomes in rural settings. This retrospective cohort study examined all patients (n=1805) who underwent screening LDCT in a prospective registry from March 1, 2015, through December 31, 2019, in a majority-rural health care system. We assessed the proportion of early-stage lung cancers (American Joint Committee on Cancer stage I-II) diagnosed among LDCT-screened patients, and analyzed overall survival after early-stage lung cancer diagnosis according to residency location. The screening cohort had a median age of 63 and median 40-pack-year smoking history; 62.4% had a rural residence, 51.2% were female, and 62.7% completed only 1 LDCT scan. Thirty-eight patients were diagnosed with lung cancer (2.1% of the cohort), of which 65.8% were early-stage. On multivariable analysis, rural (vs nonrural) residency was not associated with a lung cancer diagnosis (adjusted hazard ratio 1.59; 95% CI, 0.74-3.40; P =0.24). At a median follow-up of 37.1 months (range, 3.3 to 67.2 months), 88.2% of rural versus 87.5% of nonrural patients with screen-diagnosed early-stage lung cancer were alive ( P =0.93). In a majority-rural United States population undergoing LDCT, most screen-detected lung cancers were early-stage. There were no significant differences observed between rural and nonrural patients in lung cancer diagnosis rate or early-stage lung cancer survival. Increased implementation of LDCT might blunt the historical association between rural United States populations and worse lung cancer outcomes.