Impact of land-use dynamics and climate change scenarios on Groundwater recharge in the case of Anger watershed, Ethiopia

Abstract

An assessment of land use dynamics and climate variability impacts on hydrological processes is vital and a prerequisite for effective water resources management. This study aimed to quantify the effect of land-use changes and long-term climate variability on the Anger watershed's annual groundwater recharge, which covers a total drainage area of 7717 km2. The WetSpass (Water and Energy Transfer between Soil, Plants, and Atmosphere under quasi-Steady State) model was used to investigate the impact of land cover and climate variability on groundwater. The Mann–Kendall (MK) test was used to analyze the spatial variations and temporal trends of the climate variables in the watershed. Input data for the model, such as land use, hydro-meteorological data, soil texture, topography, and groundwater elevation parameters, were prepared in the form of gridded maps with a 30 m resolution. The model results indicate that land-use change and climate variability considerably impact distributed groundwater recharges. Groundwater recharge decreased with land use in 2000 and 2019, respectively, as compared to baseline land usage (1985). The study also demonstrates how the anticipated future combination of less precipitation and higher temperatures has a detrimental effect on the watershed's annual average groundwater recharge. Future rising temperatures and reduced precipitation are projected to result in an average annual groundwater recharge showing significant decreases in 2050, 2080, and 2110, respectively, according to scenario-based models. The result has provided valuable information on the management and response of groundwater recharge to climate and land-use changes, particularly for the Anger watershed and for the total country as well.