Impact of imaging frequency on progression free survival in Alliance clinical trials enrolling patients with untreated follicular lymphoma.

Abstract

7520 Background: With goal of simplifying clinical trials in lymphomas, we reported that bone marrow biopsies are irrelevant for response assessment in most patients (pts) with follicular lymphoma (FL) on trials (Rutherford JCO 2023). We then investigated impact of imaging frequency in FL clinical trials. We hypothesized that progression free survival (PFS) would not be different when imaging is performed less frequently than required by trials. Methods: We identified all trials through Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology that enrolled untreated pts with FL from 2008-2016. We considered 2 imaging schedules: protocol specified (control) vs relaxed (X) in which response assessments at every other required time point were omitted. For each trial, we estimated PFS using Kaplan Meier methods for the 2 schedules then determined difference in PFS between schedules as % change from control schedule in 2 year (yr) PFS rate. We performed simulation studies to approximate impact of less frequent imaging on PFS estimation using 50901 (low-intermediate risk FL) and 50904 (intermediate-high risk FL, control arm). We assumed exponential distribution for PFS, where rate parameter was calculated based on observed median PFS with uniform censoring distribution. Protocols for 50901 and 50904 mandated imaging every 4 months (mos) for 2 yrs then every 6 mos (S0). We ran 1000 iterations of 100 observations using 3 tumor assessment follow up schedules: every 6 mos for 2 yrs then yearly (S1), every 8 mos for 2 yrs then yearly (S2), or yearly (S3) for simulated progression times. We calculated deviation of PFS using simulated schedules from truth (S0). Results: Across 5 FL trials, median percent change of schedule X from control schedule in estimated 2yr PFS was 2.1% (0.0-30.8%) and in estimated 4yr PFS was 0.9% (-8.6-25.7%). Disparate result in 50901 is due to small shift in events with low number of pts at risk for progression. Simulation study results by trial were: for 50901, true median PFS 1.9 yrs and average median PFS for S1, S2, and S3 of 2.05, 2.11, and 2.21 yrs; for 50904 (control arm), true median PFS 4.1 yrs and average median PFS for S1, S2, and S3 of 4.16, 4.12, and 4.05 yrs. Conclusions: Our findings support decreased frequency of imaging studies in FL clinical trials, which would improve resource use and decrease pt burden. We plan a larger analysis to confirm results. https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org . Clinical trial information: NCT00553501 , NCT01145495 , NCT01190449 , NCT01286272 , NCT01829568 .[Table: see text]