Abstract

384 Background: The International Germ Cell Consensus (IGCC) classification is based on primary tumor localization, presence of non-pulmonary visceral metastases, and serum tumor marker levels, not the general condition of patients. The present study aimed to identify novel prognostic factors for nonseminomatous germ cell tumors (NSGCTs) with IGCC intermediate or poor prognosis. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 399 patients with germ cell tumors (GCT) treated at Tohoku University Hospital between 1979 and 2011. Of these, 52 and 61 patients with NSGCTs were classified as having intermediate and poor prognosis, respectively. Several clinical parameters were reviewed, including age, IGCC prognosis group, kind of induction chemotherapy, and extra-scrotal symptoms at presentation. Extra-scrotal symptoms were defined as symptoms other than scrotal swelling, such as abdominal pain, lumbago, and dyspnea. Survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess potential predictors of outcome. Results: The median age of the 113 patients was 30. Median length of follow-up was 57 months. At presentation, 12 (23%) patients with intermediate prognosis and 32 (52%) patients with poor prognosis had extra-scrotal symptoms. In the intermediate prognosis group, the five year overall survival (OS) of patients with extra-scrotal symptoms was significantly worse than that of patients without symptoms (95% vs. 63%, p= 0.0008), but there was no significant difference in five year OS between patients with and without extra-scrotal symptoms in the poor prognosis group (60% vs. 66%, p= 0.265). On multivariate analysis, the presence of extra-scrotal symptoms (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.48, p= 0.0184) and induction chemotherapy not including etoposide (HR = 12.0, p< 0.0001) were independent predictors of inferior OS. Conclusions: The presence of extra-scrotal symptoms was associated with inferior OS, particularly in patients with intermediate prognosis. Intermediate-prognosis patients with extra-scrotal symptoms should be recognized as having poor prognosis.

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