Abstract
Most governments are currently debating whether and how to release lockdowns and travel prohibitions as a result of the outbreak. The purpose of this article is to provide light on the effect of the COVID19 epidemic on international aviation. First, a short assessment of the literature on other aviation disasters in recent decades is offered. PEST (Political, Economic and Socio-Cultural and Technological aspects) study is then used to examine how the pandemic affects the airline sector. A fresh wave of adjustment is on the way for the aviation industry, with the potential of several airlines going bankrupt and others being forced to restructure or merge with or be acquired by bigger companies in the field. It seems that the aviation industry's recovery will be a protracted and drawn-out one. This means that airlines may be forced to change their business models to accommodate the shift toward unmanned and contactless service delivery. For airlines, the paper concludes with ideas for short- and long-term growth in air travel.
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