Abstract
Objective and mehtods: Our objective is to determine the containment effect on the spread of Covid 19 in Morocco. The methodology is based on an epidemiological study whose objective is to take stock of the current situation and to estimate the future spread of Covid-19 over time in Morocco. Several conditions were considered using the SIR epidemiological model for a better reliability of the results. During the study period from the appearance of the first case until 19 June 2020, Morocco reported 9074 cases of infections, 213 deaths with a lethality of 2.35% and a mortality of 6.04 per million inhabitants.
 Results and Conclusion: The results of the SIR model show a sudden increase in infections. The peak would be 4.4 million inhabitants or 12% of the total population under confined conditions. Selon ces résultats,Containment is one of the most effective methods of reducing the risk of infection.
 Bangladesh Journal of Medical Science Vol.19(0) 2020 p. S 58-S 65
Highlights
Containment remains one of the most effective methods to curb the spread of viruses today
Since the detection of the first real case of coronavirus (Covid-19) on March 2, 2020, the Moroccan authorities have taken a large number of decisions to limit the spread of the pandemic and preserve the health and safety of citizens
At the time when Morocco is preparing for deconfinement, it seemed necessary to us to estimate the spread of the virus over time in Morocco according to several conditions according to the states of strict confinement to the states of deconfinement and to model projections according to various parameters related to the spread of the virus
Summary
Containment remains one of the most effective methods to curb the spread of viruses today. Since the detection of the first real case of coronavirus (Covid-19) on March 2, 2020, the Moroccan authorities have taken a large number of decisions to limit the spread of the pandemic and preserve the health and safety of citizens. They decided to declare a «state of health emergency» and took a series of swift and strict measures against the Covid-19. Abdelmajid Soulaymani, PPR-B-Mokhtari-FS-UIT, Ibn TofailUniversity, Kenitra, Morocco This model makes it possible to better understand the epidemic and to foresee the period and the means of lifting the restrictions imposed by the state of health emergency
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
