Abstract

Rising atmospheric CO2, changing climate, and other environmental factors such as nitrogen deposition and aerosol concentration influence carbon and water fluxes significantly. Water-use efficiency (WUE) was used to analyze these factors over 3 decades (1981–2010) using the Community Land Model 5.0 (CLM5.0). The study analyzes the effects of climate and other environmental factors on multiple land cover types (forest, grassland, and cropland) with divided study periods (1981–2000 and 2001–2010). Ecosystem WUE (EWUE) and transpiration WUE (TWUE) increased at the forest site due to the CO2 fertilization effect but decreased at the grassland and cropland sites due to lower gross primary production and higher/lower (cropland/grassland) evapotranspiration as consequences of rising temperature and water availability. Inherent WUE confirmed that EWUE and TWUE trends were controlled by the rising temperature and CO2-induced warming through an increase in vapor pressure deficit. In this way, forest and cropland sites showed warming patterns, while the grassland site showed a drier climate. The later period (2001–2010) showed steeper trends in WUE compared with the earlier period at all sites, implying a change in climate. The results showed implications for rising temperature due to increased CO2 concentration at multiple land cover types.

Highlights

  • Rising atmospheric ­CO2, changing climate, and other environmental factors such as nitrogen deposition and aerosol concentration influence carbon and water fluxes significantly

  • The best results for ET were obtained at the cropland site, with the highest ­R2 value of 0.74; the forest site showed the best results in terms of gross primary production (GPP) estimation, with lower root mean square error (RMSE) and bias values (2.08 and – 0.04 gC m−2 day−1, respectively) and ­R2 value of 0.71

  • The increasing trends in Ecosystem WUE (EWUE) and transpiration WUE (TWUE) at the forest site reflected a strong C­ O2 fertilization effect, which continued through the two study periods (1981–2000 and 2001–2010)

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Summary

Introduction

Rising atmospheric ­CO2, changing climate, and other environmental factors such as nitrogen deposition and aerosol concentration influence carbon and water fluxes significantly. Inherent WUE confirmed that EWUE and TWUE trends were controlled by the rising temperature and C­ O2-induced warming through an increase in vapor pressure deficit In this way, forest and cropland sites showed warming patterns, while the grassland site showed a drier climate. Plants control the opening and closing of their stomata in response to prevailing atmospheric C­ O22,3,8 Both processes can increase or decrease the ecosystem WUE (EWUE) depending on the LCTs and soil moisture availability at the ­surface[15,20]. According to Keenan et al.[2], Scientific Reports | (2020) 10:11644

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