Abstract
ABSTRACT Cambodia has maintained steady economic growth in the past few years; however, its logistics infrastructure is still underdeveloped. Therefore, many logistics projects are being planned and implemented in Cambodia to improve its infrastructure. Because of a growing need to evaluate the effects of these projects quantitatively, this study forecasts the container flows in Cambodia in 2025, by taking into account the economic growth and progress of these projects. This study uses a combination of the Global Trade Analysis Project recursive dynamic (GTAP-RD) model and the global logistics intermodal network simulation (GLINS) model to estimate the impact of various policies related to infrastructure. The authors examine five future policy scenarios and found the policies that will have a significant effect on international container shipping, such as reducing border-crossing time and cost at national borders between Cambodia and Vietnam or Thailand and doubling the frequency of the liner services calling at the Sihanoukville port.
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