Abstract
A forecast method of the impact factor trend was given based on grey system theory. Using this method, combined with the top 20 management science journals, the grey system GM (1, 1) model was constructed. The model evaluates and predicts the average impact factor trend of the top 20 management science journals.
Highlights
Journal Citation Reports (JCR) issued by American Information Research Institute (ISI) is an authoritative system for evaluating journals
This paper is based on JCR database and grey system theory, building a trend analysis method for the average impact factor (IF) of the top 20 management science journals
Grey system theory [1] was based on the macro forecast and decision about society and economy when it was earliest proposed
Summary
Journal Citation Reports (JCR) issued by American Information Research Institute (ISI) is an authoritative system for evaluating journals. This paper is based on JCR database and grey system theory, building a trend analysis method for the average impact factor (IF) of the top 20 management science journals. The results can provide reference for related researchers
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