Abstract
This study presents the results of a pilot project, for the Saint-François and Aylmer lakes located in southern Quebec, aimed at developing a method to evaluate the adaptability of a current dam management plan to global climate changes. The hydrological simulations computed using available climate scenarios indicated modifications in annual water yields, from a 13% increase to a 30% decrease, and earlier spring floods. Peak flows, winter and summer low flows, and the level of increase in water yields vary depending on the studied climate scenario. The simulation of the current management plan shows that climate changes will affect the current trade-off between the various management objectives of the reservoirs. Adaptation solutions to the current management plan appeared to be feasible, but no unique solution applicable to all climate scenarios was found.Key words: climate change, dam, impacts, adaptation, hydrologic modeling, Quebec.
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