Abstract

In this paper we attempt two projects. The first is to try to explain immigration attitudes by taking account of two likely causal factors: economic dislocation and threats to identity or cultural values. We argue that, while economic dislocation and cultural conservatism each produce anti-immigrant attitudes, the effect of culture or identity is probably stronger. The second project seeks to understand the effects of immigration attitudes on prospective and retrospective political choices by political leaders and parties. We argue that the immigration issue has exposed an enormous vulnerability of traditional parties either to internal fracture or entry by new parties or political leaders.

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