Abstract
Using a nationally representative monthly survey, administered both before and after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, this paper provides estimates of household responses to the COVID-19 pandemic in Tajikistan, focusing on (i) short-term dynamic impacts on household economic outcomes and food security, (ii) heterogenous effects across different households, and (iii) coping with income shocks resulted from the pandemic. Parametric and non-parametric event studies are estimated to quantify the short-run dynamic impacts of the pandemic on household activities. The findings show that household employment and income dropped, and food insecurity immediately worsened with the first confirmed COVID-19 cases and continues to deteriorate six months into the pandemic in Tajikistan. The extent of the impacts varies depending on locations, pre-pandemic income levels, and household sizes. In response to the income shock brought about by the pandemic, households increased borrowings and reduced food and health expenditures. These results are robust to different specifications.
Highlights
The ongoing corona virus pandemic (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-Cov-2) has triggered unprecedented health crises and economic disruption globally
Based on the available data, this paper focuses on the direct impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the following set of output variables: (i) household income and employment; (ii) household migration and remittance statuses; and (iii) food security
In the context of growing interest in the socio-economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, this paper offers insights into short-run impacts of the pandemic on household economic activities and food security outcomes and how households respond to the worldwide aggregate shock in Tajikistan
Summary
The ongoing corona virus pandemic (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-Cov-2) has triggered unprecedented health crises and economic disruption globally. Economics of Disasters and Climate Change containment measures have had a substantial impact on local businesses, employment, income, poverty, health, education, and food security. While the overall impacts of the pandemic are yet to be determined, this paper aims to provide estimates of the immediate impacts of COVID-19 on household economic activities and households’ responses to the income shock caused by the pandemic in Tajikistan. The household activities that this paper takes into consideration are employment, income, migration, remittances, and food security.. This paper investigates the following: (i) short-run impact of the pandemic, (ii) heterogenous effects across location, pre-pandemic income and household size, and (iii) coping mechanisms with the income shock brought by the pandemic The household activities that this paper takes into consideration are employment, income, migration, remittances, and food security. this paper investigates the following: (i) short-run impact of the pandemic, (ii) heterogenous effects across location, pre-pandemic income and household size, and (iii) coping mechanisms with the income shock brought by the pandemic
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