Abstract

Predicting disease progression in the initial stage to implement early intervention and treatment can effectively prevent the further deterioration of the condition. Traditional methods for medical data analysis usually fail to perform well because of their incapability for mining the correlation pattern of pathogenies. Therefore, many calculation methods have been excavated from the field of deep learning. In this study, we propose a novel method of influence hypergraph convolutional generative adversarial network (IHGC-GAN) for disease risk prediction. First, a hypergraph is constructed with genes and brain regions as nodes. Then, an influence transmission model is built to portray the associations between nodes and the transmission rule of disease information. Third, an IHGC-GAN method is constructed based on this model. This method innovatively combines the graph convolutional network (GCN) and GAN. The GCN is used as the generator in GAN to spread and update the lesion information of nodes in the brain region-gene hypergraph. Finally, the prediction accuracy of the method is improved by the mutual competition and repeated iteration between generator and discriminator. This method can not only capture the evolutionary pattern from early mild cognitive impairment (EMCI) to late MCI (LMCI) but also extract the pathogenic factors and predict the deterioration risk from EMCI to LMCI. The results on the two datasets indicate that the IHGC-GAN method has better prediction performance than the advanced methods in a variety of indicators.

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