IGF-Child-Pugh score as a predictor of treatment outcome in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with sorafenib.

Abstract

4076 Background: Our recent published studies concluded that Lower levels of Insulin like growth factors-I (IGF-I) is correlated with shorter overall survival (OS) in HCC, and IGF-CP scores assigned based on serum bilirubin, serum albumin level, prothrombin time, and plasma IGF-1 provides better prognostic stratification. Sorafenib is the first frontline drug approved for the treatment of CP class A patients with advanced HCC. CP class A is the standard criterion for active therapy and trials entry in HCC. In this study we aimed at evaluating the predictive ability of IGF-CP to sub-stratify old CP classes and better predict sorafenib outcomes. Methods: Total of101 patients were prospectively enrolled from MD Anderson Cancer Center (MDACC). Blood sample were collected and tested for IGF-I and IGF-CP was calculated into class A, B and C. Median OS and progression free survival (PFS) were analyzed, and log rank test was used to compare PFS and OS between subgroups of IGF-CTP score of patients. Results: Among CP class, patients who were reclassified as IGF-CP (B) (Old A/new B) had significantly shorter OS in months (m) was 7.6m (95% CI= 5.23-26.51m ) and PFS of 2.99m (95% CI=2.53-5.26m) with (P<0.001) in both, as compared to patients’ who classified as class A by both scoring systems (AA), who had OS of 15.43m (95% CI=12.3-31.18m) and PFS of 4.97m (95% CI=3.26-7.2m), (P<0.001) in both. Conclusions: IGF-CTP score sub-stratified CP A class, and provided better prognostic stratification and accuracy than CP score in predicting sorafenib survival outcomes in HCC. This approach may lead to a paradigm shift in predicting efficacy and toxicity of systemic HCC therapies and in stratifying patients for active therapy and selection in HCC clinical trials.