Identifying individuals satisfying the termination of resuscitation rule but having potential to achieve favourable neurological outcome following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

Abstract

AimTo develop a simple scoring model that identifies individuals satisfying the termination of resuscitation (TOR) rule but having potential to achieve favourable neurological outcome following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). MethodsThis study analysed the All-Japan Utstein Registry from 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2019. We identified patients satisfying basic life support (BLS) and advanced life support (ALS) TOR rules and determined factors associated with favourable neurological outcome (cerebral performance category scale of 1 or 2) for each cohort using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Scoring models were derived and validated to identify patient subgroups that might benefit from continued resuscitation efforts. ResultsAmong 1,695,005 eligible patients, 1,086,092 (64.1%) and 409,498 (24.2%) satisfied BLS and ALS TOR rules, respectively. One month post-arrest, 2038 (0.2%) and 590 (0.1%) patients in the BLS and ALS cohorts, respectively, achieved favourable neurological outcome. A scoring model derived for the BLS cohort (2 points for age <17 years or ventricular fibrillation/ventricular tachycardia rhythm; 1 point for age <80 years, pulseless electrical activity rhythm, or transport time <25 min) effectively stratified the probability of achieving 1-month favourable neurological outcome, with patients scoring <4 having a probability of <1%, whereas those scoring 4, 5, and 6 having probabilities of 1.1%, 7.1%, and 11.1%, respectively. In the ALS cohort, the probability increased with scores; however, it remained <1%. ConclusionA simple scoring model comprising age, first documented cardiac rhythm, and transport time effectively stratified the likelihood of achieving favourable neurological outcome in patients satisfying the BLS TOR rule.